Today, the information space is filled with messages about electric vehicles and vigorous statements that he soon, one or another city, a country forbidding cars with gasoline or diesel engines. Such information noise creates the illusion of the end of the era of internal combustion engines (DVS). But is it really? Our channel figured out this issue, and it turned out that rumors about the death of the DVS are too exaggerated.
The cost of production of electric vehicles is compared at the cost of production of machines on internal combustion engines (DVS) by 2024, consider analysts of the largest Swiss financial holding UBS. After that, the rejection of transport on the basis of fossil fuels will be inevitable, the researchers speak, in which the English edition of The Guardian is referred to.
The difference in the cost of the production of electric cars and cars for DVS by 2022 will be only $ 1900 per unit, experts say, and by 2024 it will disappear completely. The study of Swiss analysts is based on fresh analyzing the scope of batteries for electric vehicles of the seven largest suppliers of this equipment. According to experts, the achievement of parity in the cost of production of components for electric vehicles and DVS transport is a key factor that will cause the world to abandon the use of fossil fuels. Our channel would have added a developed world, and not the entire planet.
The cost of electric vehicles is still significantly superior to the cost of cars of ordinary versions, which limits their sales. For example, the price of a new Volkswagen Golf model begins with 20,280 British pounds. In turn, the price of the Volkswagen ID.3 electrical model, which is positioned as the first mass model of the electromotive of the German autocontraser, starts with 30,000 British pounds. The largest British autoconecern Jaguar Land Rover appreciates its only fully electric Jaguar I-Pace car in 64,495 British pounds, even taking into account all government support programs aimed at increasing demand for electrical transport. The cost of an analogue of the Jaguar F-PACE based on the BASES in turn begins with 44,845 British pounds. It is noted that the cost of the battery itself can reach a quarter or at least 1/5 of the cost of the entire electric vehicle.
Experts believe that a rapid decline in batteries will lead to a much more rapid transition to electric transport. «After 2025, there will be no reasons for the purchase of a car to the engine,» comments Tim Bush (Tim Bush), UBS analyst.
Notice, everything is very cheerfully and optimistic. Is it really?
The authorities of many European cities gradually increases the number of zones where the entry of cars from the OBS is prohibited. In California (USA), the sale and purchase of a car with DVS will be prohibited already in 2035. These and other regular reports that «dirty» transport on gasoline and a dieselopliva is about to be banned. Agree, such an informational background contrasts strongly, if you go to the street of the Russian metropolis and look at the flow of cars moving along the busy highway. In it, you will not find electric vehicles. This will be the first blow to consciousness that puts everything in its place between the virtual information background and our reality: the current and most promising.
The conversation about the refusal of the FROS was brought in the European Union, due to the so-called «Green Agreement». In accordance with it, in the model line of automotive manufacturers every year more and more electrocars and hybrids should appear. Then they will fit in the norms of harmful emissions and they are not caught. Nevertheless, such German car giants like Audi, Mercedes-Benz and Porsche declare that, despite the tendency of electric mobility, to write off cars with internal combustion cars, and the power units themselves are too early.
The head of the research and development of Audi Markus Dyusmann believes that companies should not refuse to develop internal combustion engines, despite the fact that the brand is collected until 2025 to bring 20 pure electric vehicles and rechargeable hybrids. He stated this in an interview with AUTOMOTIVE NEWS. According to Dyusmann, since the demand for cars with DVS is, including on modifications with diesel engines, to refuse them prematurely. Moreover, the Audi boss believes that diesel engines are the most effective of all internal combustion engines. The top manager also suggests that diesel cars will still be more popular in Europe, until the authorities finally ban them. But in emerging markets, cars with gasoline engines will continue the greatest demand.
Technical director Volkswagen AG Mattias Slave is confident that internal combustion engines still have a future, despite the tightening of carbon dioxide emissions (CO2). This is the future, it connects with synthetic fuel made from biomass or biomaterials. And brings an example of the aviation industry, where synthetic fuel is used for a long time and is in great demand. In an interview with the British publication AutoCar, Raken said that «DVS will live longer than some people predict … We are very serious about our goals regarding CO2 emissions and want to be an example for imitation, but this does not mean that we will refuse the internal combustion engine «,» Slave said.
This is a bold statement, taking into account the fact that VW intends to become the world leader in the production of electrical transport and to 2029 to release 75 fully electric cars, as well as 60 rechargeable hybrids (PHEV).
Even in Daimler AG, producing Mercedes-Benz passenger cars, despite the fact that a separate electric brand EQC has been created here and plan to fully electrify the entire lineup, very carefully relate to the engine. Last week, the production council Daimler warned an automaker from concentrating attention exclusively on electricity.
If you look at what is happening objectively, it will become clear that it is not only about the right of choice. Not the last role is played by money. After all, the entire world auto industry has investigated huge funds in the development and improvement of the engine. In addition, refusing to DVS, car giants with a long history, as if «are reset», opening the way to Chinese electrocarbar producers and numerous startups. Not to mention the interests of the largest manufacturers and carbon fuel sellers, and their branched networks of gas stations.